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Travis Kelce Projections 2023: Expert Predictions And Fantasy Advice

Trends January 16, 2025

What is a "Travis Kelce projection"?

A "Travis Kelce projection" is a statistical estimate of how many fantasy football points Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is expected to score in a given week. These projections are commonly used by fantasy football players to make informed decisions about which players to start and sit in their lineups.

Kelce is one of the most consistent and productive tight ends in the NFL, so his projections are highly sought-after by fantasy football players. In 2022, Kelce had 110 receptions for 1,338 yards and 12 touchdowns. He is expected to be a key part of the Chiefs' offense in 2023, so his projections will be closely watched by fantasy football players throughout the season.

There are a number of factors that can affect Kelce's projections, including his matchup, the Chiefs' game plan, and his own health. However, his track record of success suggests that he is a safe bet to produce solid numbers on a weekly basis.

Fantasy football players can use a variety of resources to find Travis Kelce projections. Some popular options include ESPN, Yahoo Sports, and CBS Sports. These websites provide projections for all NFL players, including Kelce. Fantasy football players can also find projections on social media and in fantasy football magazines.

Once fantasy football players have found projections for Kelce, they can use this information to make informed decisions about which players to start and sit in their lineups. Projections can help fantasy football players identify players who are likely to score a lot of points, and they can also help players avoid players who are likely to struggle.

Travis Kelce Projection

Travis Kelce is one of the most consistent and productive tight ends in the NFL, making his projections highly sought-after by fantasy football players. Here are seven key aspects to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections:

Matchup
Game plan
Health
Past performance
Expert analysis
Weather
Injury news

Matchup is an important factor to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections. Kelce tends to perform better against teams that allow a lot of receptions and touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Game plan is also important, as Kelce is more likely to be involved in the passing game if the Chiefs are trailing. Health is another key factor, as any injuries could limit Kelce's production. Past performance can also be a good indicator of future performance, as Kelce has been a consistently productive player throughout his career. Expert analysis can also be helpful, as fantasy football experts can provide insights into how they expect Kelce to perform in a given week. Weather can also play a role in Kelce's projections, as bad weather can lead to fewer passing attempts and less production from all pass-catchers. Finally, injury news is important to monitor, as any injuries to Kelce or his teammates could affect his projections.

By considering all of these factors, fantasy football players can make more informed decisions about Travis Kelce's projections. Kelce is a safe bet to produce solid numbers on a weekly basis, but his projections can vary depending on the matchup, game plan, health, and other factors.

1. Matchup

The matchup is one of the most important factors to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections. Kelce tends to perform better against teams that allow a lot of receptions and touchdowns to opposing tight ends. This is because Kelce is a big target with great hands and a knack for getting open in the end zone. He is also a very good blocker, which can help the Chiefs establish the running game and create play-action passing opportunities.

Coverage: Kelce is most likely to have a good game against teams that play a lot of man-to-man coverage. This is because Kelce is a big and physical receiver who can out-muscle smaller defenders. He is also very good at finding soft spots in the zone and making himself available for a pass.
Pass rush: Kelce is also more likely to have a good game against teams that do not have a strong pass rush. This is because Kelce is a very good blocker and can help protect the quarterback. He is also very good at getting open quickly, which can make it difficult for defenders to get to the quarterback.
Weather: The weather can also play a role in Kelce's matchup. Kelce is less likely to have a good game in bad weather, such as rain or snow. This is because the weather can make it difficult for quarterbacks to throw the ball and for receivers to catch the ball.
Injuries: Injuries can also play a role in Kelce's matchup. If Kelce is injured, he may not be able to play or may not be able to play at his full potential. This can have a negative impact on his projections.

2. Game plan

The game plan is another important factor to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections. The game plan refers to the offensive strategy that the Chiefs are planning to use in a given game. This can have a big impact on Kelce's projections, as he is more likely to be involved in the passing game if the Chiefs are trailing.

Pass-heavy game plan: If the Chiefs are trailing or playing against a team with a weak pass defense, they are more likely to use a pass-heavy game plan. This means that Kelce is likely to see more targets and have a higher projection.
Run-heavy game plan: If the Chiefs are leading or playing against a team with a strong pass defense, they are more likely to use a run-heavy game plan. This means that Kelce is likely to see fewer targets and have a lower projection.
Balanced game plan: If the Chiefs are playing against a team with a balanced defense, they are more likely to use a balanced game plan. This means that Kelce is likely to see a mix of targets and have a moderate projection.
Injuries: Injuries can also play a role in the game plan. If the Chiefs are missing key players on offense, they may be more likely to rely on Kelce in the passing game. This can lead to a higher projection for Kelce.

3. Health

Health is a major factor to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections. Kelce has been relatively healthy throughout his career, but he has missed games due to injury in each of the past two seasons. If Kelce is injured, he is likely to see a decrease in targets and production. This can have a negative impact on his projections.

Injury history: Kelce has a history of injuries, including ankle, knee, and back injuries. While he has been able to play through some of these injuries, they have limited his production at times. Fantasy football players should be aware of Kelce's injury history when making projections.
Age: Kelce is entering his ninth NFL season in 2023. While he is still a very productive player, he is not as young as he used to be. As Kelce ages, he may be more susceptible to injuries. Fantasy football players should consider Kelce's age when making projections.
Playing style: Kelce is a very physical player who is not afraid to go over the middle and make tough catches. This playing style can lead to injuries. Fantasy football players should be aware of Kelce's playing style when making projections.
Team medical staff: The Chiefs have a very good medical staff that is dedicated to keeping their players healthy. This can help Kelce stay healthy and on the field. Fantasy football players should consider the Chiefs' medical staff when making projections.

4. Past performance

Past performance is an important factor to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections. Kelce has been a consistently productive player throughout his career, and his past performance can provide valuable insights into his future performance. For example, Kelce has averaged over 1,000 receiving yards and 10 touchdowns per season over the past four years. This suggests that he is a safe bet to produce solid numbers on a weekly basis.

However, it is important to note that past performance is not always a guarantee of future success. There are a number of factors that can affect Kelce's production, including his health, the Chiefs' offense, and the opposing defense. Additionally, Kelce is entering his ninth NFL season in 2023, and he may not be able to maintain the same level of production that he has in the past. Despite these caveats, past performance is still a valuable factor to consider when making projections.

By considering Kelce's past performance, fantasy football players can make more informed decisions about his projections. Kelce is a safe bet to produce solid numbers on a weekly basis, but his projections can vary depending on a number of factors. Fantasy football players should consider all of these factors when making projections.

5. Expert analysis

Expert analysis is an important factor to consider when evaluating Travis Kelce projections. Fantasy football experts have a wealth of knowledge and experience that can help them make accurate projections. They can provide insights into Kelce's matchup, the Chiefs' game plan, and his health. They can also identify trends and patterns that can help them make more informed projections.

There are a number of different ways that fantasy football experts can provide analysis. Some experts write articles and blog posts about their projections. Others appear on TV and radio shows to discuss their projections. Still others offer their projections through subscription-based services.

Fantasy football players should consider the following factors when evaluating expert analysis:

Accuracy: How accurate have the expert's projections been in the past?
Experience: How much experience does the expert have in fantasy football?
Bias: Does the expert have any biases that could affect their projections?

By considering all of these factors, fantasy football players can make more informed decisions about which experts to follow. Expert analysis can be a valuable tool for making more accurate Travis Kelce projections.

6. Weather

Weather can have a significant impact on Travis Kelce's projections. Kelce is a big target with great hands, but he can be affected by bad weather, such as rain or snow. This is because the weather can make it difficult for quarterbacks to throw the ball and for receivers to catch the ball. Additionally, bad weather can lead to a run-heavy game plan, which can limit Kelce's targets and production.

For example, in Week 1 of the 2022 season, Kelce had just four receptions for 26 yards in a game that was played in heavy rain. In Week 17 of the 2022 season, Kelce had just three receptions for 29 yards in a game that was played in snow. These are just two examples of how weather can negatively impact Kelce's production.

Fantasy football players should consider the weather forecast when making projections for Travis Kelce. If bad weather is expected, Kelce's projections should be lowered. Conversely, if good weather is expected, Kelce's projections should be raised.

7. Injury news

Injury news is a critical component of Travis Kelce projection. Injuries can have a significant impact on a player's performance, and Kelce is no exception. If Kelce is injured, he is likely to see a decrease in targets and production. This can have a negative impact on his fantasy football value.

For example, in Week 1 of the 2022 season, Kelce suffered a knee injury. This injury limited his practice time in the lead-up to Week 2, and he was eventually ruled out of the game. As a result, Kelce's fantasy football projection for Week 2 was significantly lowered.

Fantasy football players should pay close attention to injury news when making projections for Travis Kelce. If Kelce is injured, his projections should be lowered. Conversely, if Kelce is healthy, his projections should be raised.

Here are some tips for staying up-to-date on injury news:

Check the official team website for injury reports.
Follow beat writers on social media.
Listen to fantasy football podcasts.
Use a fantasy football app that provides injury news.

By staying up-to-date on injury news, fantasy football players can make more informed decisions about their lineups.

FAQs about Travis Kelce Projections

Travis Kelce is one of the most consistent and productive tight ends in the NFL, making his projections highly sought-after by fantasy football players. Here are five frequently asked questions about Travis Kelce projections:

Question 1: What factors affect Travis Kelce's projections?

Several factors can affect Travis Kelce's projections, including his matchup, the Chiefs' game plan, his health, past performance, expert analysis, weather, and injury news. Fantasy football players should consider all of these factors when making projections for Kelce.

Question 2: How accurate are Travis Kelce projections?

The accuracy of Travis Kelce projections depends on a number of factors, including the accuracy of the data used to make the projections and the skill of the person making the projections. However, even the most accurate projections are not always correct. Fantasy football players should use projections as a guide, but they should also be prepared to make adjustments based on their own research and analysis.

Question 3: How can I find Travis Kelce projections?

There are a number of websites and fantasy football apps that provide Travis Kelce projections. Some popular options include ESPN, Yahoo Sports, and CBS Sports. Fantasy football players can also find projections on social media and in fantasy football magazines.

Question 4: How should I use Travis Kelce projections?

Fantasy football players can use Travis Kelce projections to make informed decisions about which players to start and sit in their lineups. Projections can help fantasy football players identify players who are likely to score a lot of points, and they can also help players avoid players who are likely to struggle.

Question 5: What are some tips for making accurate Travis Kelce projections?

Here are a few tips for making more accurate Travis Kelce projections:

Consider all of the factors that can affect Kelce's projections.
Use multiple sources of information to make your projections.
Be prepared to adjust your projections based on new information.

By following these tips, fantasy football players can make more informed decisions about Travis Kelce's projections and improve their chances of winning their fantasy football leagues.

Conclusion

Travis Kelce is one of the most consistent and productive tight ends in the NFL, making his projections highly sought-after by fantasy football players. When evaluating Travis Kelce projections, it is important to consider a number of factors, including his matchup, the Chiefs' game plan, his health, past performance, expert analysis, weather, and injury news. Fantasy football players should use all of this information to make informed decisions about their lineups.

By following the tips outlined in this article, fantasy football players can make more accurate Travis Kelce projections and improve their chances of winning their fantasy football leagues. Ultimately, the goal of Travis Kelce projections is to help fantasy football players make better decisions about their lineups. By considering all of the factors that can affect Kelce's performance, fantasy football players can make more informed decisions and improve their chances of success.